Kevin: Mindy McAdams, a journalism educator in the US who has done a lot of work with Flash, looks at HTML5, video and the Canvas javascript library. It's a good post looking at the how soon we can expect HTML5 to be fully implemented in mainstream browsers. I think that we'll see HTML5 move a bit more quickly seeing as it's implemented to some extent already in Firefox, Chrome, Safari and Opera. The implementation of video and friction not just over Flash versus H.264 but also with Ogg Theora will mean that agreement on video will take a little longer. Mindy's got a good, clear-headed post here especially from the standpoint of educators.