Blogs take a shine to Moore’s Law

Michael S Malone writes:

Is there a Moore’s Law of the Blogosphere?

The reason for asking that question is the announcement this week by blog tracker Technorati […], in its annual State of the Blogosphere report that the number of blogs in the world has jumped from 7.5 million in March to 14.2 million today.

In other words, in appears the blogosphere is doubling in size every five months. Or even more staggering — a new blog is being created out there somewhere every second.

Whenever you hear the word “doubling” related to anything high tech, the first thing that comes to mind is the Law of Laws in the digital world: Moore’s Law of Semiconductors.

If Moore’s Law holds true for blogs, in three years we’ll have 2,000 million blogs. And I bet people will still be talking about ‘bloggers’ as if we are al the same.

3 thoughts on “Blogs take a shine to Moore’s Law

  1. I wonder, if we analysed the propagation of books in the Gutenberg age, would there have been a doubling of titles every so many months? A doubling of pages in print? Would the rate of doubling have continued unbroken until today? If not, then whatever was the pattern in pages of paper text will maybe be reflected in pages of blog base as well.

  2. Interesting thought. However, I would suspect that physical limiting factors, such as the limit to how many books one press can print in a given space of time, and rate of building of new presses, would keep initial book production from adhering to Moore’s Law.

    Blogs, however, don’t have any limiting factors – there’s sufficient availablity of tools, hosting and bandwidth that there effectively is nothing stopping anyone from starting one. No constraints, so nothing to stop Moore’s Law from applying.

  3. All physical-world systems have constraints — the production of printed pages with limited numbers of presses, production of computer memory chips with limited numbers of chip making machines, and the production of blogs with limited amounts of disposable time to spend blogging.

    The constraint of the system may be outside the system: e.g. how much drive is there to read more books if only they were available, to purchase faster computers if only they were available, to post more insights if only we didn’t have to tend to our day job.

    We don’t know in advance how the dynamic between the drivers of the system pushing against the constraint of the system will play out, until we observe how it has worked out in experience.

    Moore observed that the balance in the case of computer chips worked out to a doubling of capacity every so many months, which has kept pace. No one has maybe looked at how the driver-vs-constraint dynamic has worked out in published pages in printed books or published pages in blogged briefings.

    Until we look, we don’t know. But it might be interesting to look.

Comments are closed.