links for 2010-02-04

  • Kevin: US streaming video site Hulu marks a milestone, having served 1bn stream. Now, it will be exploring paid models with offering of a $4.99 to get rid of the ads or $14.99 for seasons of shows and a back catalogue.
  • Kevin: "Outspoken billionaire cum provocateur Mark Cuban charged Google and other content aggregators Tuesday of being freeloaders — or worse. "The word that comes to mind is vampires," he said. "When you think about vampires, they just suck on your blood."
  • Kevin: Miguel Helft from the NYTimes writes: "YouTube said last month that it would dip its toes into the digital movie rental business with five independent films tied to the Sundance Film Festival. The company said the five films, which were available for 10 days, received a combined 2,684 views.

    At $3.99 per rental, YouTube netted $10,709.16. "

  • Kevin: Peter Kirwan (who I shared a stage with last week at the Frontline Club in London) writes: :"If the new rules of media end up writ large on tablet devices, a series of battles will need to be fought and won. The biggest conflict of all pits hardware and software companies, mobile operators and content producers against one another. Each wants the lion's share of the value chain." Interesting piece.
  • Kevin: My colleague Steve Busfield at the Guardian writes: "After a little prompting Rupert Murdoch gave it straight when asked what he thought of Guardian editor Alan Rusbridger's vision of a future without paywalls: "I think that sounds like BS to me." Murdoch says in announcing News Corp's $254m profits for the last three months of 2009: "Content is not just king, it is the emperor of all things digital. We're on the cusp of a digital revolution from which our shareholders will profit handsomely." Shareholders will profit handsomely. Murdoch will profit handsomely. Make no mistake fellow journalists, you will not. Polish up your CVs. Launch your own projects. Murdoch's digital future won't mean job security or living wages for you.
  • Kevin: I think Peter Preston raises some important issues in this piece from the Media Guardian. I will agree with him that the paywall and paid content discussion has been largely ideological and not strategic. I think that even the use of the term paywall creates a binary position when really we've got a spectrum of options. I do think that newspapers will be bundled with other services such as pay TV. However, I think Preston makes some imperfect comparisons when he looks at the Optimum Cable-Newsday bundle and speculative bundles that Rupert Murdoch might create with Sky TV and News International.
  • Kevin: Robert Wright, senior fellow at the New America Foundation, believes that technology has made special interests more powerful in the US to the point of almost making the US ungovernable. "This generation of political technology — Special Interest 2.0 — has made Obama’s job a lot harder." Has technology turned the US into a direct democracy, or a much larger version of the failing state of California? It's an interesting argument that I'm not sure I agree with.
  • Kevin: Jake Dobkin, the publisher and co-founder of Gothamist, has some very harsh words for The New York Times. "I don't think a paper that loses millions of dollars a year and funds itself by taking extortionary loans from plutocratic Mexican billionaires can be said to be competing in anything, Metro or otherwise. My feeling is you only get to congratulate yourself if you produce a great product and make money doing it— you don't get any points for doing just the first half. And that doesn't just go for you guys— I don't think any magazine or newspaper that supports itself by sucking on the teat of some old rich guy (or his heirs!) should be giving anyone else advice." He says that goes doubly in terms of local. (What about City Room?)
  • Kevin: Robert Andrews at paidContent.org.uk highlights a brilliant bit of research on the turning point in the rise of the freesheets. Nearly half of the freesheets that have launched have shut. As Robert says, it's some fantastic research by Piet Bakker at Hogeschool Utrecht.
  • Kevin: Danny Sullivan at Search Engine Land has a great example of Mark Cuban being a bit hypocritical about calling Google and aggregators vampires when Jason Calacanis' Mahalo, which Cuban has invested in, does many of the same things that Cuban accuses the bloodsuckers of doing. There is a lot of this kind of talk by media incumbents who really play both sides of the game. Danny isn't the only person to call Cuban out on this. It's important to do seeing as many in the legacy media are using their bully pulpits to call for changes in competition law to support their businesses. Emerging media companies don't have the platforms to counter this kind of lobbying.
  • Kevin: Staci D. Kramer at paidContent.org publishes a memo sent to the affiliates with Steven Brill and Gordon Crovitz's Journalism Online LLC paid content company. The memo adds a little more detail. "Most are using some version of the metered model, though all are deploying their own variations. For example, one is combining the metered approach with the segmenting option; another is combining the out-of-market targeting with the meter; and a non-profit affiliate will combine the meter with a support campaign."
  • Kevin: Telegraph "New strategy will focus on content, commerce and clubs – not user figures, says Telegraph Media Group digital editor" Ed Roussel says that the strategy of linking increasing traffice to increasing ad revenues "broke around March 2008". Roussel heads up The Telegraph's Project Euston, "We have done it so that any one of our over 500 journalists who has a brilliant idea can apply for funding and other resource, and try to make it a reality." Smart programme, but as a friend says, it comes after hundreds of journalists have lost their jobs. Sad that it had to come to this.
  • Kevin: Jason Fry suggests that generalist advice for writing on the web should come with a caveat" "Take stuff like this with a boulder of salt. Such well-meaning advice oversimplifies our craft, and makes the mistake of assuming Web readers are all alike."

Listening – Connecting – Publishing

Chris Brogan talks about a handy framework upon which to build your social media strategy:

There are three main areas of practice for social media that your company (or you) should be thinking about: listening, connecting, publishing. From these three areas, you can build out your usage of the tools, thread your information networks to feed and be fed, and align your resources for execution. There are many varied strategies you can execute using these toolsets. There are many different tools you can consider employing for your efforts. But that’s the basic structure: listening, connecting, publishing.

This framework is ostensibly about external social media usage, but these concepts are just as important internally:

  • Listen to what staff what and need, and allow staff to listen to each other
  • Provide meaningful ways for staff to connect with each other
  • Allow staff to publish information in a way that makes sense to them

Does it work that way in your company?

links for 2010-02-03

Does your personality influence how you use the web?

The British Psychological Society blog highlights recent research by Leman Tosun and Timo Lajunen (requires login) into personality type and internet usage:

Using Eysenck’s classic personality test, Tosun and Lajunen found that students who scored high on extraversion (agreeing with statements like ‘I am very talkative’) tended to use the Internet to extend their real-life relationships, whereas students who scored high on psychoticism (answering ‘yes’ to statements like ‘does your mood often go up and down?’ and ‘do you like movie scenes involving violence and torture?’) tended to use the Internet as a substitute for face-to-face relationships. Students who scored high on psychoticism were also likely to say that they found it easier to reveal their true selves online than face-to-face. The personality subscale of neuroticism (indicated by ‘yes’ answers to items like ‘Do things often seem hopeless to you?) was not associated with styles of Internet use.

‘Our data suggest that global personality traits may explain social Internet use to some extent,’ the researchers concluded. ‘In future studies, a more detailed index of social motives can be used to better understand the relation between personality and Internet use.’

I wonder how long it will take for companies that use psychometric testing to add an additional “internet user type” section…

links for 2010-02-02

  • Kevin: This is an interesting hire. Robin Sloan, formerly with Current TV, is heading to Twitter to work with media partners. For those not familiar with Sloan, he and Matt Thompson (who just took an interesting job with NPR) created the EPIC animations (aka Googlezon) looking at the future of media while they were at the Poynter Institute.
  • Kevin: The irrational exuberance and backlash with respect to Apple's iPad would make a lovely psychological study especially in terms of different technology tribes. Steve Jobs has always been about the interface, whether that is the GUI or the human-computer interface. Deep geeks (and I travel with that tribe) want to get underneath the interface. At any rate, this is a really simple breakdown based on tweets of the iPad backlash. Enjoyable.
  • Kevin: Bravo TV has announced a new partnership with location-based social network FourSquare. As Nick Bilton at the New York Times writes, it may seem counter-intuitive that a social network that works to get people out from in front of their TVs would want to partner with a TV network. However, look a little deeper and this is about building new relationships with their audiences beyond TV. Smart move.
  • Kevin: Dr. Serena Carpenter, an assistant professor in the Walter Cronkite School of Journalism and Mass Communication at Arizona State University, looked at the skills that traditional news media and online news media were looking. What leapt out at me was that traditional news rooms were looking for both nontechnical and technical "routine expertise" while online news rooms were looking for "adaptive expertise" in additional to traditional journalism skills. This might be my interpretation, but it's an interesting look at what newsrooms are looking for in employees.
  • Kevin: A very interesting open source document collaboration and annotation project from the Centre for Educational Research and Development. It's based on WordPress and has its roots in the WriteToReply and digress.it projects. Digress.it is a plugin that allowed paragraph level commenting. The project also reveals semantic relationships between documents in the repository. Very clever stuff licenced under GPL 2 or Modified BSD licences.
  • Kevin: Leading Russian search engine Yandex sees first US dollar revenue slide in its history. It's 2009 revenues were up 14%, but due to ruble devaluation, their US dollar revenue decreased. Yandex being the Google of Russia saw its revenue increase while the overall Russian advertising market decline by 30% in 2009.
  • Kevin: Adrian Drury, principal analyst for consulting and research firm Ovum, says that media need a miracle in 2010, and Steve Jobs of Apple via the iPad "amounted to a strong story for publishers. But it comes with some major caveats". The caveats? Companies looking to deliver content on the iPad should do so with the knowledge that the music industry ceded a lot of the control over the industry to Apple's iTunes and the iPod. The revenue potential whether via paid content or advertising depends on the device volume. Good read outside of the tech press.

Shoot the alpha males

I was listening to WNYC’s RadioLab on the weekend, particularly the recent episode, The New Normal?. The first section was a story about a tribe of Kenyan baboons studied by Robert Sapolsky. The group got tragically infected by tuberculosis and most of the alpha males died.

Now, baboons are notoriously aggressive and when new males join a tribe, much trouble ensues. But after the death of the alpha males, a new culture took hold, one of gentleness and acceptance. When new males joined the group they were accepted much more quickly than normal. Grooming increased, especially between males. The group had changed.

Initially, it seemed that this was just a temporary effect, but now, 20 years later, the group still behaves differently to any other baboon tribe even though most of the original members are long since dead. The culture of tolerance has endured and has been passed on not just through the teaching of baby baboons, but also through the conversion of incoming adolescent males whom, it was assumed, would have brought their violent culture in with them.

I couldn’t help but think of the different communities that I’ve been a part of over the years and the importance of first contact. What happens when you join a community influences your own behaviour there, like it or not. If someone is rude, aggressive or dismissive of you, then you are more likely to be rude, aggressive or dismissive back. When someone welcomes you to the community with warmth and openness, you return the favour to the next newbie to arrive.

Perhaps one step towards healthy online communities is to shoot all the alpha males (or females, for that matter) that barge in, beating their chest and picking fights with the youngsters. Metaphorically, of course.

Asymmetry: The problem with social networks

Clive Thompson writes on his blog (and in Wired) about how social networks such as Twitter become dysfunctional when the network gets too big and, as a result, too lopsided:

When you go from having a few hundred Twitter followers to ten thousand, something unexpected happens: Social networking starts to break down.

This is a point I’ve been making for a long time, not really from personal experience but from observing various friends who have very high follower counts. Clive goes on:

Technically speaking, online social-networking tools ought to be great at fostering these sorts of clusters. Blogs and Twitter and Facebook are, as Internet guru John Battelle puts it, “conversational media.” But when the conversation gets big enough, it shuts down. Not only do audiences feel estranged, the participants also start self-censoring. People who suddenly find themselves with really huge audiences often start writing more cautiously, like politicians.

When it comes to microfame, the worst place to be is in the middle of the pack. If someone’s got 1.5 million followers on Twitter, they’re one of the rare and straightforwardly famous folks online. Like a digital Oprah, they enjoy a massive audience that might even generate revenue. There’s no pretense of intimacy with their audience, so there’s no conversation to spoil. Meanwhile, if you have a hundred followers, you’re clearly just chatting with pals. It’s the middle ground — when someone amasses, say, tens of thousands of followers — where the social contract of social media becomes murky.

‘Microfame’ is a term I first heard used by Danny O’Brien at OpenTech 2005 in his keynote, Living Life in Public (available from the UKUUG site, embed coming soon!).

This was in an era before Twitter, before Facebook opened up to the world, when most people became ‘internet famous’ through their blog. But becoming ‘microfamous’ puts people at the centre of an uncomfortable social dynamic. As Danny said:

There are people out there who know something about you, but you have relatively little knowledge about them.

This becomes problematic because the microfamous rarely have the resources that the truly famous do to protect their privacy. But more importantly, it creates a disconnect, an unbalanced power relationship that we don’t really have the societal experience to understand. Knowledge is, after all, power.

This relationship asymmetry has been amplified by Twitter especially. Twitter is a very good example of how poorly we understand these dynamics and how the tools that we create and use are not designed to take the microfame effect into account.

It’s appears that there are a number of stages in the growing asymmetry of one’s Twitter network. The first is when the majority of @ messages you receive come from people you don’t know. That happened a while ago for me, probably at around the 2000 follower mark. Then @ messages from people you know get swamped by @ messages from people you don’t. Finally, the @ messages to every last thing you say flood in, killing your ability to have a conversation with anyone and making it impossible to build connections.

I’ve not experienced those last two stages, but I’ve seen it happen to friends and it’s not pretty. It puts them in a difficult position where the people @ing them feel put out that they don’t get a personal reply, but the amount of time it would take to read and respond to every @ makes it extremely difficult.

This is the eternal problem of social networks. In order to be financially successful, social networks need to grow large. But in order to be socially successful, they need to stay small. Seemic was a good example of this. In the early days, it felt like a small, intimate community where one could upload a video and have a real conversation around it. As it grew, the conversational seeds, those first video uploads that broached a new subject, became so numerous that it was hard to find one’s own, let alone the responses to it. In fact, it became so time-consuming to participate I had to give up.

With Twitter, the problem is just as much about the tools as the network itself. Twitter clients tend to be designed for people with small networks and don’t deal well with asymmetry. Most tools, for example, have two ways to show @ messages: you can see @s from your friends in your timeline or see all @ messages lumped together, regardless of who they came from.

I’ve yet to see a tool (although clearly I’ve not used all Twitter clients) that gave you a third choice, to see all @s from people that you follow in a separate view. That would at least allow the Twitterer to focus on maintaining relationships with the people they have chosen to follow, whilst facilitating a dip into the faster-flowing stream of @s from the rest of Twitter whenever they wanted.

It might be tempting to dismiss this problem as one that only the cool kids suffer from, but that would be to miss the wider point. In some situations, creating small trusted networks with variably-permeable boundaries is key to creating a sustainable broader network. This is particularly of collaboration spaces, where you want to invite only key people to work with you, although that group may change from project to project.

(Now, you may think that Facebook achieves this, but it doesn’t. It gives one the sense of being in a small sub-community without actually delivering on that promise – the boundaries are far too porous, and their porosity is not entirely under your control.)

We need to do a lot more thinking about this problem. It’s relevant in a whole host of context – hot-desking enterprise, for example – and most social networks focus on creating broad opportunities for interaction without considering how to let people create natural boundaries where they feel comfortable.